Wednesday, April 2, 2008

Danger


Image depicts a 300 metre sea levels rise, a level that can be reach if the ice caps melt


Rising Sea Levels

Hi Guys

I have been think lately, futher to a conversation with an friend of mine the impact that the rising sea level will have on the future genrations.
As a reasearch topic we are focusing on three main outcomes of the rising sea level in the future. Ofcourse these are all speculative, but they really do get the mind thinking of the "what if factor".

1. unexpected natural disater 
What if we were to wake up on a normal day in the week and be faced with a catastrophic disater with the likes no one has ever seen. Rising sea level which are rising at 10 cemetres every hour.
Lised below would be some of the major issues which at the moment no such structure has been put in place, how will these issues be address?

-emergancy evacuation procudure
-saving iconic buildings
-social impact and migration
-physical transformation of the city
                                                                       
2. Gradual rise in sea levels    
We know for a fact that the sea is rising every day, albeit on a very small scale (1cm over a couple years). But what we also know is that the rise is expenetial. What we dont know is the direction on the curve in the diagram. It could shoot up on a very steep inclination for all that we know. Again below is some areas we will like to look into.                                                    
-technologies and systems put in place
-gradual build up of infrastucture in another location and social impacts of this, ie social classes who will have better previliages etc.
-while sea levels rise is there any long term plan to try to decrease it? even though it is increasing?
                                                                   
3. adapt to the rise

Could sydney be a another Venice. Yes we know that the scale of the two cities are dramatically diffrent but what about socially, are sydney siders ready to packand leave or make due of what has confronted them?                                          

 -benifits and deteriments of this organism working?
 -social impact ?

I am curious to read other responses in relation to this topic. Do you think that the social impacts will undermine the physical transformation?



Early thinking

You have brought forward many intresting topics and concerns which will inevitably face in the future both as professionals and citizens.

Yes we did come up with an intresting device (kinetic charged generator battery), which co-insides with my futurologist Richard Register’s hopes and dreams and predictions. Just to give you a quick insite here is a quick snipet from an interview Richard was in. “An ecocity is an ecologically healhy city. That also means the city design is strongly informed by knowledge of ecology and its design principles. The (anatomy analogy) in very instructional in the enterprise of trying to build ecologically healthy cities. As in living organisms with different functions arraged close to one another in an appropriate spatial relationship, so too for cities.
Although I am an avid supporter of Richards optimism, and the utopian scenario you described on your first post “This will have a great…..English speaking Australians”, I wouldn’t hold my breath. I personally believe that the imdeiate future is bleak and only through social/cultural and economic hardships will the authorities step back and actually plan and set out blueprints for a green city. 
Yes, we are becoming more aware of depleting natural resources, but do you see any drastic changes?
The Sydney City 2030 plan will not be dominated by a new breed of Tree-hugging developers nor a single device that will alter the course of the city into a special mould. What I do see is a driving technology that will change the way in which we as humans will behave, both socially, culturally and spiritually. This phenomemun is the WIRELESS technology.

Face value, wireless technology seems very convientient and essential to the modern savy. Come 2030 inevitably most of the population will be connected by wireless. How is this significant? Well think about it, the economy will definitely benefit short term, but long term what will be the social and cultural implications? Below is a small extract by Geoffrey Bowker of Santa Clara University
“The eroding distinction between work and play is one of the many paradoxes at the heart of our increasingly wireless world. This is always the case with new technology. Often the effects are paradoxical. The overall upside is that we can maintain a rich social and cultural life while dashing from pillar to post. The overall downside is that our spiritual development-which requires empty time, contemplation-is suffering enormously.
Security willa also become a major factor in future plans. Mobile tracking will be unparralled, connecting and tracking people at an ease of a button. Behavioural patterns of the citizens will change as well as there lifestyle in extreme cases. Dividing the line between work and play will be a major issue, certain controls need to be implemented on a personal level.

In regards to present futureologist and there predictions, below is a link from a futureologist in the 60's predicting the year 2000. I found it very amusing.